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This is a simple approach to calculate the probability for at least one person in a healthy group (A) to meet one sick person in a second group (B).

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covid-growth

This is a simple approach to calculate the probability for at least one person in a healthy group (A) to meet one sick person in a second group (B).

  • This model assumes that the population size is steady.
  • This model is considering a steady growth of infection.
  • This model is not considering recovery and mortality rates (e.g. SIR-model).

This model is exclusively used for indication purposes and should not be considered a representation of the actual reality.

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This is a simple approach to calculate the probability for at least one person in a healthy group (A) to meet one sick person in a second group (B).

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