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deng-ai

This repository contains the data minning and predicion codes used for DengAI: Predicting Disease Spread competition

Group name is DVios-UOMCSE13

Python modules used

  • pandas
  • statsmodels

Data Preprocessing Approaches

  • Filling the missing values with latest value, attribute mean, class mean
  • Linear interpolation

Prediction

  • Negative Binomial
  • Random fores

Other Approaches

  • Use 2 separate models for 2 cities with 4 features with the highest coorelation.

  • First the 2/3 of the data set as used for model building and 1/3 for model testing. Using the complete set of data for model building improved the accuracy

  • Updating the model again using the best set of predicted values imporved the accuracy

  • Reducing the features to top 3 incresed the accuracy of predicted data.

  • Time shifting the data

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