I will explore several linear models to forecast COVID-19 cases. The objective is to predict case counts two weeks ahead for all five health authorities.
I have two data sets in my repo, bc-covid-train and bc-covid-test. Both have 6 variables: HA, date, cases+14, cases+0, cases-7, cases-14. cases+14 is the response: it is the total number of cases observed in the week ending 14 days after date. The other cases variables are features: the total number of cases in the week ending on the date, 1 week earlier and 2 weeks earlier.
