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Statistical modelling of traffic flow at unsignalized T intersection. Finished 2021

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Gap Acceptance Research

This paper deals with statistical modelling of critical clearances which are the main subject of the Gap Acceptance theory. The full report is available here: Full report.

  • First, we used appropriate terminology to define a mathematical model of an unsignalized T intersection. Using this model we presented the problem of the partial distribution of clearances of order $k \in \mathbb{N}_0$.

  • Assuming gamma distribution of clearances and critical clearances we derived a solution to this problem. We later validated this solution by using numerical computations. Further, with the premise of gamma distributed critical clearances, we analytically derived the Siegloch function.

  • At last, we verified that the empirical partial distribution of clearances of order $k \in {0, 1, 2, 3}$ (recorded at three German T intersections) belongs to the family of previously derived partial distribution of clearances. This hypothesis was evaluated by using Pearson’s $\chi$-squared goodness of fit test.

Mathematical model of unsignalized T-intersection

T intersection Model

Analytical derivation of partial distributions of order $k$ and Siegloch function

T intersection Model

Real traffic data analysis

T intersection Model

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Statistical modelling of traffic flow at unsignalized T intersection. Finished 2021

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