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Results mismatching: Different results of posterior for model parameters from Table 1 in the FRBNY DSGE published paper #21
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Dear Matthew and Cai @MattCocci @caimichael @dseevr @musm
Best Regards |
Hello, |
Hi ethanmatlin, |
I'm trying to run the run_default.jl and get the forecasting results of FRBNY DSGE model as in this paper. The model's custom settings are set up as following:
custom_settings = Dict{Symbol, Setting}(
:data_vintage => Setting(:data_vintage, "130412"),
:date_forecast_start => Setting(:date_forecast_start, quartertodate("2013-Q2")),
:use_population_forecast => Setting(:use_population_forecast, true),
:n_anticipated_shocks => Setting(:n_anticipated_shocks, 6),
:optimization_attempts => Setting(:optimization_attemps, 20),
:date_presample_start => Setting(:date_presample_start, quartertodate("1984-Q1")))
m = Model990(custom_settings = custom_settings)
The other properties are set up by default. I can load data and run estimate function successfully, but I'm getting totally different posterior results for parameters with running estimate(m) function.
For example, the posterior means that I get from mhsave_vint=130812.h5 file like following:
but the posterior for model parameters read from paper are as below:
I want to know if you have any updated paper for the latest code or there is some setting problem need to be fixed so that I can get the same results as published paper.
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